Ignacio Rondon

Ticket scarcity and contract expiry move prices through different mechanisms.

How Europe's fragmented gambling licenses differ from US commodities rules for the same product.

Congress has struggled for six years to pass federal sports betting rules.

Federal and state courts are splitting on whether prediction markets are securities or gambling.

The CFTC and states clash over whether sports betting contracts are federally regulated swaps.

Weather forecasts move NFL totals in a predictable sequence, and timing your bet to it is the edge.

How NBA lines react to injury news, from whispers to confirmed absences.

Sharp bettors move lines against public ticket flow, revealing where the real money sits.

Sportsbooks charge hidden fees while exchanges let markets set fair prices.

Exchanges offer better odds than sportsbooks, but only if liquidity exists to match your bet.

Platforms disagree on how to settle bets when outcomes get messy or delayed.

How automated market makers price obscure sports bets when no human trader will.

Markets reveal their blindest guesses on day one, before anyone trades.