The Event Contract
Odds Movement Analysis
Latest research
Odds Movement Analysis
Cross-Sport Correlation in Event Contract Pricing
Cross-sport parlays cost more than their legs imply, and market structure is the culprit.
- Weather Data as a Predictor of Totals Line MovementWeather forecasts move NFL totals in a predictable sequence, and timing your bet to it is the edge.
- Public Betting Percentages as a Contrarian SignalTicket counts and dollar handle tell different stories, and the gap between them is the signal.
- Injury News Impact on Odds Movement in NBA MarketsHow NBA lines react to injury news, from whispers to confirmed absences.
- Opening Line vs Closing Line Value in Prediction MarketsBeating the closing line signals skill, but the close isn't gospel.
Odds Movement Analysis
View all →- Cross-Sport Correlation in Event Contract PricingCross-sport parlays cost more than their legs imply, and market structure is the culprit.
- Weather Data as a Predictor of Totals Line MovementWeather forecasts move NFL totals in a predictable sequence, and timing your bet to it is the edge.
- Public Betting Percentages as a Contrarian SignalTicket counts and dollar handle tell different stories, and the gap between them is the signal.
- Injury News Impact on Odds Movement in NBA MarketsHow NBA lines react to injury news, from whispers to confirmed absences.