The Event Contract
Prediction Markets
Latest research
Prediction Markets
Contract Expiry Timing Effects on Event Market Pricing
Ticket scarcity and contract expiry move prices through different mechanisms.
- Correlated Event Contracts and Portfolio Risk on Prediction PlatformsCorrelated bets can lock capital and hide concentration risk across prediction markets.
- Slippage Costs for Large Orders on Event Contract PlatformsSlippage costs scale with order size and available liquidity, not as a fixed fee.
- Order Book Depth as a Leading Indicator in Event MarketsOrder book depth signals direction in thin prediction markets, but read it like rumor, not gospel.
- Settlement Rules and Edge Cases in Sports Event ContractsPlatforms disagree on how to settle bets when outcomes get messy or delayed.
Prediction Markets
View all →- Contract Expiry Timing Effects on Event Market PricingTicket scarcity and contract expiry move prices through different mechanisms.
- Correlated Event Contracts and Portfolio Risk on Prediction PlatformsCorrelated bets can lock capital and hide concentration risk across prediction markets.
- Slippage Costs for Large Orders on Event Contract PlatformsSlippage costs scale with order size and available liquidity, not as a fixed fee.
- Order Book Depth as a Leading Indicator in Event MarketsOrder book depth signals direction in thin prediction markets, but read it like rumor, not gospel.