Prediction Markets
Order Book Depth as a Leading Indicator in Event Markets
How order book depth signals price moves in prediction markets, if you know what to ignore.
Mei-Ling Tso
Editor at Large · · 15 min read
The Event Contract — Page 2
Bid-Ask Spread Dynamics on Betting Exchanges
Spreads determine whether patient makers profit or impatient takers lose money.
Mei-Ling Tso
CFTC-regulated event contracts versus state-licensed sportsbooks: what the two regimes actually differ on
One regulator beats fifty, but the tax treatment is what actually costs you money.
Darnell Boateng
Automated Market Makers in Sports Prediction Markets
Surging sports betting volume reveals which AMM designs hold up under live-game volatility.
Ignacio Rondon
How a peer-to-peer betting exchange prices a market: order books, liquidity, and where the vig actually goes
Betting exchanges use order books to set odds through supply and demand, not margins.
Renata Kowalczyk
How Event Contract Prices Are Set at Launch
Markets face their hardest test on day one, before trading reveals what anyone actually thinks.
Ignacio Rondon